Monday

Chinese Exporters Dump Dollar


The anecdotal evidence that China is diversifying its forex exposure away from the Dollar continues to mount. To date, most of the focus has centered around the Central Bank of China, which is passively diversifying its reserves into European and higher-risk assets. Apparently, Chinese exporters are also getting nervous about the impact of a falling Dollar on their respective bottom lines. The RMB has risen 11% since the beginning of 2007, which means Chinese companies now receive 11% less on sales to destinations abroad than they did for equal-priced goods in 2007. As a result, some companies have taken to quoting prices in Euros or to adjusting Dollar-denominated prices every few months. Other companies are building assumptions of a more valuable RMB into their profit models, and setting prices accordingly. The New York Times reports:

“We are gradually increasing our emphasis on the domestic market until we can forget about the export market, because the profit margins on exports are so thin,” [said one exporter].

New Forex ETFs


WisdomTree and Dreyfus Funds recently unveiled five new currency ETFs in order to fill a broad gap in the emerging markets category. Previously, investors were limited to such mainstay currencies as the US Dollar, Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc. These new ETFs will expand this list to include the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, and the much-anticipated Chinese Yuan. It will also offer products for the Euro and Yen, but these probably won't draw much attention. The RMB ETF, especially, will be pounced on by investors, who have been clamoring for years for a cheap and easy way to capture the upside of the Yuan's inevitable appreciation. In addition, all of the ETFs will also return modest yields based on prevailing interest rates in the representative countries. Reuters reports:

In the case of India, Brazil and China, the yields on the ETFs may differ from yields available locally due to restrictions on foreign investors.